“Senior Kadima members are no longer asking themselves if the party will split, but when the party will split.

Kadima hasn’t been an important party for a while now. Not only is it not an alternative to the current government, but leading the opposition in the next Knesset also seems today to be more of a wish than a well-founded political assessment. Despite all this, the Kadima primary election on Tuesday night is likely to be one of the more decisive political events so far, with implications for years to come.

No one will be surprised if Kadima splinters apart in the coming weeks or months. A split is virtually inevitable. Beyond the personal aspect in this whole story – and many believe that the electoral distance between Livni and Mofaz won’t allow for them to coexist side by side – it seems that Kadima simply can’t manage to find its identity in the current political space.”

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